Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CRE
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
CRE
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BCF
0 - 0
CRE
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 3
STF
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 2
POR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 2
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |