Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
POR
3 - 0
CRE
40%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
CRE
3 - 1
BRE
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
CRE
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BPO
2 - 1
CRE
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CRE
1 - 0
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
OLD
0 - 2
CHE
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
OLD
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 1
HUR
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
OLD
1 - 0
YEO
47%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 2
OLD
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |