Creteil vs Épinal analysis


50	ELO	55
3%	Tilt	-5.7%
4187º	General ELO ranking	3809º
90º	Country ELO ranking	79º
ELO win probability

37.3%

Creteil

25.9%

Draw

36.8%

Épinal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

37.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%

25.9%

Draw

0-0

6.8%

1-1

12.3%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.9%

36.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+5%

-26%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

5º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

43

1º

5º

57

1º

14º

1º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

1º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	57	60	1º	91%
2º	55	56	2º	91%
3º	52	55	3º	100%
4º	45	48	4º	75%
5º	43	46	5º	46%
7º	40	43	6º	0%
6º	43	43	7º	38.5%
9º	38	42	8º	28%
8º	39	40	9º	76%
10º	37	37	10º	59%
12º	35	36	11º	52%
11º	35	35	12º	73.5%
13º	34	34	13º	56%
14º	31	32	14º	49.5%
15º	31	32	15º	65%
16º	22	22	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	0%	91%
Mid-table	100%	9%
Relegation	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Creteil

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Mar. 2023	FUR 2 - 2 LUS 39% 27% 34%	51	50	1	0
18 Mar. 2023	LUS 0 - 0 STG 70% 19% 11%	51	44	7	0
04 Mar. 2023	SML 1 - 1 LUS 32% 26% 42%	51	47	4	0
25 Feb. 2023	LUS 2 - 1 BOB 34% 27% 40%	50	57	7	+1
11 Feb. 2023	BEL 1 - 0 LUS 29% 26% 45%	51	46	5	-1

Matches

Épinal

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
25 Mar. 2023	SPI 0 - 0 BRC 79% 15% 7%	55	39	16	0
18 Mar. 2023	OLY 1 - 2 SPI 13% 22% 65%	54	40	14	+1
04 Mar. 2023	SPI 3 - 1 ESW 74% 17% 9%	54	44	10	0
25 Feb. 2023	COL 1 - 2 SPI 37% 26% 37%	53	50	3	+1
18 Feb. 2023	STG 1 - 2 SPI 26% 25% 49%	53	47	6	0