Crespi vs Cinisellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crespi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
SPE
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CIT
3 - 0
CRE
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 2
CAR
13%
18%
69%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
3 - 2
CRI
19%
21%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
CRE
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cinisellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 2
CIT
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
CIN
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
0 - 1
COB
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CIN
4 - 0
REA
85%
10%
4%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
CIN
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |