Crema vs Villongo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
CRE
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 1
PED
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
PAR
2 - 1
CRE
87%
9%
5%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
CRE
1 - 0
ALR
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
CRE
1 - 0
PIA
23%
21%
56%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | +2 |
Matches
Villongo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
RIG
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 1
VIL
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |