Crema vs Vallecamonica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
2 - 1
ORC
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 0
CAV
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRE
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
GRU
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PED
0 - 3
CRE
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Vallecamonica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 2
RIG
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
VIL
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 1
VAL
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 0
PED
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
DAR
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |