Crema vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
53.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 2
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 2
PSM
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 1
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 1
CRE
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
TRE
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FIO
1 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
5 - 2
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
DAR
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
PER
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
VBE
3 - 4
PER
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |