Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Crema vs Campodarsego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
PER
0 - 1
CRE
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
BUS
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
CRE
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 0
CIS
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ACL
1 - 1
CRE
47%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Campodarsego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACE
0 - 2
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAM
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 1
CNO
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
4 - 1
UAR
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 5
CAM
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |