CRB vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CRB
3 - 0
DSA
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 0
CRB
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ASA
1 - 0
CRB
13%
21%
66%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRB
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
AFO
1 - 3
NAU
13%
18%
70%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |