Crato vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 2
ALC
14%
20%
67%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 0
CRA
66%
19%
16%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 0
CRA
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SER
0 - 0
NAV
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
SER
13%
21%
67%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |