Crateús vs Itapaje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
CRA
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 1
CRA
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Itapaje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
TIR
20%
23%
58%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 2
ITA
59%
21%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 1
AME
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
ITA
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |