Crateús vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
TIR
26%
25%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
CRA
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 3
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 1
FER
26%
26%
48%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 3
TIR
26%
26%
49%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRA
47%
25%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
CRA
34%
23%
43%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
2 - 2
FER
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
3 - 0
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |