Crateús vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
IGU
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
5 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
QUI
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 2
BAR
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BOV
4 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
4 - 1
QUI
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 4
SAO
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |