CRAC vs Trindade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
32.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 0
CRA
44%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
VIL
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
ATL
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 1
CRA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GOI
2 - 0
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 1
ANA
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 1
APA
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
TRI
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |