CRAC vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
MOG
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOG
1 - 1
CRA
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
3 - 1
CRA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 0
GRE
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
ANA
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
MIN
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 0
GRE
53%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 2
MIN
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |