CRAC MT vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CRA
1 - 0
RON
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 2
GRE
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRA
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
CRA
2 - 0
MGR
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
RON
3 - 1
CRA
55%
21%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SIN
1 - 0
LUV
22%
23%
56%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NOU
0 - 3
LUV
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
2 - 1
SOR
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
TAN
1 - 1
LUV
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 21 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
LUV
3 - 0
SIN
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |