Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
AYR
3 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
54%
20%
26%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
CWB
0 - 0
HAM
66%
18%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
QPA
1 - 0
CWB
55%
22%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
CWB
3 - 0
MON
71%
16%
12%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
ARB
2 - 1
STI
54%
21%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
EAS
3 - 0
ARB
77%
13%
10%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1967 |
ALB
1 - 1
ARB
54%
21%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1967 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALL
75%
15%
10%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1967 |
ARB
4 - 3
EAS
45%
22%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |