CD Covadonga vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 1
COV
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COV
0 - 1
LUA
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
UPL
2 - 2
COV
61%
22%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
COV
5 - 0
COL
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COV
4 - 1
CON
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEA
1 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ROB
2 - 1
LEA
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
LEA
3 - 0
COL
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
LEA
0 - 1
NAI
39%
26%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAU
6 - 0
LEA
79%
15%
7%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |