Costa Calida vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Calida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CUA
1 - 2
CCS
16%
21%
63%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CCS
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
CCS
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CCS
2 - 0
PIN
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CPE
0 - 2
CCS
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
CPE
35%
24%
41%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 0
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
3 - 1
ABA
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
YEC
3 - 0
BAL
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUM
1 - 1
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |