Cosmos vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FIO
4 - 0
COS
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
CAI
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TPE
0 - 0
COS
78%
16%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
FAE
2 - 0
COS
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
TFI
3 - 0
VIR
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VIR
3 - 2
PEN
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIR
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |