Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
LIB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COS
2 - 2
FAE
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
COS
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
COS
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TFI
2 - 0
MUR
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 0
TFI
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
DOM
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |