Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FAE
2 - 0
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
COS
5 - 2
VIR
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
2 - 0
FIO
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
TFI
3 - 3
FAE
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
TFI
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
1 - 2
SGI
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
TFI
2 - 0
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |