Cosmos vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
PEN
0 - 0
COS
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
COS
2 - 0
FOL
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COS
3 - 2
VIR
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
TFI
0 - 1
LIB
30%
23%
47%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2002 |
FOL
2 - 1
TFI
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
DOM
1 - 0
TFI
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TFI
0 - 2
CAI
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |