Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
FOL
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
FIO
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 3
COS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 30 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
MUR
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
FAE
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
JUV
0 - 2
MUR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |