Cosmos vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SGI
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
40%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
VIR
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
COS
1 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
COS
0 - 6
FAE
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
COS
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
VIR
2 - 2
LIB
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
MUR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LIB
4 - 0
SGI
83%
12%
4%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FAE
4 - 1
LIB
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |