Cosmos vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 0
CAI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
COS
3 - 2
FIO
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FAE
1 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 3
COS
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
COS
1 - 2
FIO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
MUR
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SGI
2 - 2
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 4
TFI
19%
23%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
DOM
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |