Cosmos vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 1
COS
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 3
COS
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
COS
1 - 3
TFI
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
COS
2 - 1
LIB
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 1
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TFI
0 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
FIO
3 - 2
FIO
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 4
FIO
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |