Coritiba vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
1 - 0
COT
35%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
CRB
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 3
COT
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
VAS
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 0
COT
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRU
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 1
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |