Corinthians vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
1 - 0
COR
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
UCO
2 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
ABC
0 - 4
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
COR
3 - 1
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
4 - 1
UCO
69%
17%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
UCO
2 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 1
UCO
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
2 - 1
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |