Corinthians vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 2
COR
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
PAL
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
SAO
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 0
COR
25%
29%
46%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ONC
1 - 0
MIL
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
1 - 0
ENV
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
5 - 1
TFC
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
MIL
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |