Corinthians vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
COR
43%
28%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 1
COR
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
FLA
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
46%
27%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
COR
24%
29%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
18%
25%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLU
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |