Corinthians vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
47%
29%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
COR
3 - 0
VNG
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1978 |
MIX
0 - 0
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
OPE
0 - 0
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1978 |
COR
4 - 1
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1978 |
BOT
3 - 0
OPE
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
BOT
2 - 0
AME
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 2
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
BOT
6 - 1
NOR
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
BOT
4 - 1
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |