North Korea vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
VIE
0 - 0
PRK
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 1
PRK
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
UAE
1 - 2
PRK
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
THA
2 - 1
LBN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
VIE
3 - 1
LBN
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
LBN
1 - 2
SGP
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UZB
3 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBN
1 - 2
KSA
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |