North Korea vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
1%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 0
MNG
92%
7%
1%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2006 |
KHM
4 - 1
PRK
10%
16%
74%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2006 |
LAO
3 - 2
PRK
12%
18%
70%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
PHL
7 - 0
PRK
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
15 - 1
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
1 - 1
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
IDN
3 - 0
HKG
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
HKG
2 - 0
BGD
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |