Constància vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
CON
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
CDS
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
BNS
1 - 0
CON
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
SLL
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LLO
0 - 4
CON
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 0
MER
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FLN
0 - 1
PBL
17%
22%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PBL
1 - 1
SDF
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MUR
2 - 3
PBL
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
PBL
2 - 3
IBI
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |