Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 1
FLI
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CON
32%
28%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
CAE
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 0
CON
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
TNS
6%
14%
80%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TNS
6 - 2
AIR
85%
11%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
TNS
13%
19%
69%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
TNS
0 - 1
BAR
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |