Connah's Quay vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 0
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
TNS
3 - 1
CAE
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 4
TNS
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 6
TNS
17%
21%
62%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 7
TNS
11%
19%
69%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |