Conil vs San Fernando C. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 4
CON
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CON
4 - 0
UDB
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CON
3 - 0
CHI
24%
25%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RAY
1 - 0
CON
51%
25%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CON
1 - 0
ALG
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
San Fernando C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 2
UBR
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 4
BAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |