Congo vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
0 - 0
ANG
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
2 - 0
BFA
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
CMR
0 - 1
CGO
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 3
CGO
41%
25%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CGO
1 - 1
UGA
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RWA
0 - 1
LBY
35%
28%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
LBY
3 - 0
EQG
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2017 |
JOR
1 - 1
LBY
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 0
LBY
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |