Condal vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Condal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 3
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
URR
57%
23%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TUI
1 - 0
CON
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 1
UNI
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
CON
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 2
LUA
47%
26%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 2
LEA
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LEA
0 - 1
UPL
35%
28%
37%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROB
0 - 1
LEA
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LEA
3 - 1
PRA
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |