Concorezzese vs Speranza Agrate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concorezzese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POL
3 - 3
CON
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CON
1 - 3
PAD
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 3
CON
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 1
SAL
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Speranza Agrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
6 - 0
CRE
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POL
0 - 1
SPE
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
CIT
74%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 4
SPE
10%
17%
74%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SPE
6 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |