Concepción vs CDS Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
COQ
3 - 0
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 5
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
NUB
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CDS Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NTA
1 - 4
NUB
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
NTA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
NTA
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NTA
0 - 1
CUR
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |