Como vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
VNZ
0 - 0
COM
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
ABN
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
SPA
56%
25%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 2
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
SPA
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 0
ASG
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |