Como vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
COM
3 - 1
REG
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SIE
1 - 1
SPA
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
2 - 1
VAR
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
3 - 1
ABN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |