Como vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
21.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1969 |
MAN
5 - 0
COM
52%
29%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
COM
0 - 2
CAT
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ACM
5 - 2
COM
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
2 - 1
LIV
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 0
MOD
81%
13%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
REG
2 - 2
MOD
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |