Como vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MAN
2 - 1
COM
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1959 |
FIO
2 - 0
COM
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
COM
0 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
VER
3 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
FCC
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
CAT
2 - 0
MES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
VER
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
MES
55%
24%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |