Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
COM
2 - 0
PON
43%
28%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 1
COM
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
COM
2 - 1
GER
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
OLB
1 - 1
COM
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 1
JS2
32%
25%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ABN
2 - 0
LEC
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 3
PIA
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEC
59%
22%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 2
USA
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |