Como vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 2
COM
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
ASL
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
COM
51%
27%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LEC
3 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
LEC
55%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
CTT
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |