Como vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
COM
0 - 3
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PIA
2 - 0
COM
68%
19%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ATL
2 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
COM
2 - 4
CHI
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAG
25%
24%
51%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 2
CAT
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CAG
3 - 0
VIC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAG
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |