Como vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CTT
1 - 0
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
COM
1 - 1
ABN
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 0
COM
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
COM
1 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
COM
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 2
VAR
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 3
LEC
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 0
ABN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 0
BRE
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |